Day 1667 in the land of “second army of the world” and

@charlesmead1946.bsky.social

day 1667 and the only thing moving faster than the ukrainian army is the line at the gas station. welcome to ruzzia, where the “second army of the world” cant even fuel a tractor, and the only thing running on time is the bread price going up. lets take a tour through the latest episode of “how not to run a country,” starring sanctions, drone strikes, regional bankruptcy, and a regime that thinks logistics is just a word you say when you have no plan.

fuel crisis: energy superpower, out of gas

nothing screams “energy superpower” like driving 50 km to find a gas station that isnt dry. drone strikes on russian oil refineries are a weekly event now, not just a headline. every time you blink, another refinery is either on fire or “closed for maintenance,” which is vatnik for “we got smoked and cant fix it.” by the end of august, russia was making only 70% of the gasoline it needs. thats not a hiccup, thats a full-on faceplant.

its not just moscow or st. petersburg feeling it. try saratov, penza, tyumen, surgut, rostov, samara, kursk—places where the only thing emptier than the tanks is the governments promises. tyumen, the so-called oil and gas capital, is out of gas. imagine texas running out of barbecue, thats the vibe. tractors are parked, fields are empty, and even tow trucks are just chilling, probably wondering if they can run on vodka fumes.

they tried rationing: 40 liters per person, 80 if you’re lucky, 200 for truckers. then they dropped the limits because, surprise, there’s nothing left to ration. omsk gave up first, samara followed, now the only limit is how long you’ll wait in a line that stretches to next week.

propaganda gymnastics: everything is “under control”

the kremlin’s mouthpieces are out here doing olympic-level mental gymnastics. “everything is under control, comrades! the situation is stabilizing!” sure, if stabilizing means nobody gets gas unless they have a special card, and even then, good luck. gazprom stations were supposed to get a fresh delivery—never happened. lukoil is only serving people with fuel cards, and even then, not everywhere.

the official line is “logistics are being improved.” translation: “we have no idea what we’re doing, but if we say logistics enough, maybe the tractors will start moving again.” the only thing moving is the price of gas, up in 53 regions. thats not inflation, thats a mugging.

  • gazprom stations: promised deliveries, nothing shows up
  • lukoil: fuel cards only, sometimes not even that
  • rationing: announced, then quietly dropped
  • prices: up in 53 regions, no end in sight

meanwhile, the regime still thinks it can export oil like nothing happened. sanctions are tightening, black market schemes are getting riskier and dumber, and the shadow fleet is running out of places to hide. every new round of sanctions is another brick in the wall, and the only thing the kremlin builds well is walls—around itself, the economy, and the truth.

ukraine advances, z bloggers melt down

while russia is busy playing musical chairs with its last working refinery, the ukrainian army is still pushing forward. lyman? russian forces got steamrolled. novorossiysk? russian ships at the bottom of the sea. the z bloggers are having a collective meltdown, which is honestly the only meltdown in russia not caused by a lack of coolant.

every time they claim “the front is stable,” another russian unit gets wiped or another town flips blue and yellow. the only thing more consistent than their cope is the way they all suddenly remember “its just a tactical withdrawal” after every disaster.

the only thing advancing in russia is the line at the gas station

the regime is prepping for the next round of mobilization. levada center polls show russians are “getting used to” the new normal—no gas, higher prices, maybe another draft. the percentage of people feeling tension, fear, or irritation is actually dropping. not because things are better, but because everyone’s numb. its like living in a house thats slowly flooding, and after a while, you just get used to wet socks. the regime loves this. a population too tired to care wont riot when the next wave of conscription hits.

regional collapse: moscow’s happy family fantasy

lets talk about the regions, because moscow loves to pretend russia is one big happy family, but half the country is broke and the other half is just pretending. regional budgets are in freefall. the fuel crisis means less transport, less harvest, less business, less tax. the kremlin keeps promising “support,” but the only thing they’re supporting is their own propaganda machine.

the regions are left to fend for themselves, and the only advice they get is “be patient.” try telling that to a farmer who cant get his crops out of the field, or a doctor whose ambulance is out of gas. the only thing getting delivered on time is excuses.

  • regional budgets: collapsing
  • transport: stalled
  • harvest: rotting in fields
  • business: dead in the water
  • tax revenue: vanishing

the regime still thinks it can bluff its way out. nuclear blackmail, fake peace plans, “we’re open to negotiations”—its all noise. the only thing they’re negotiating is how to spin the next disaster. the world isnt buying it, and neither are most russians, even if they’re too tired to say it out loud. the propaganda is running on empty, just like the gas stations.

ukraine adapts, russia copes

meanwhile, ukraine is doing what ukraine does—adapting, innovating, surviving. the tech sector is booming, the army is learning, and the country is still standing. every drone strike on a russian refinery is a reminder that the war isnt just about tanks and trenches, its about who can adapt faster. spoiler: its not the guys whose big idea for fixing the economy is “wait for winter and hope europe freezes.”

so whats the endgame here? russia is running out of fuel, out of money, out of options. the regime cant fix the economy, cant win the war, and cant even keep the lights on in half the country. the only thing they’re good at is exporting excuses and importing body bags. the propaganda machine is still churning, but even the best spin doctors cant fill an empty tank.

the fuel crisis isnt just a technical glitch, its a symptom of a system thats been rotting for years. sanctions didnt cause this mess, they just exposed it. the war didnt break russia, it just showed everyone how broken it already was. the regions are broke, the army is bleeding, and the only thing the kremlin can offer is more of the same—more lies, more mobilization, more empty promises.

so yeah, day 1667, and the only thing moving in russia is the goalposts. the regime says “victory is near,” but the only thing getting closer is the next crisis. ukraine’s still advancing, the sanctions are still biting, and the russian dream is still a lada that wont start. the circus rolls on, but the clowns are running out of gas.

russian victory parade this year is just a guy pushing his car past a closed gas station, waving a fuel card like a white flag

charlesmead1946.bsky.social
Charles Mead

@charlesmead1946.bsky.social

just looking around · coffee + long walks · no small talk

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