Alright, let’s talk about the “broken future” and why the world, including

@davidluna2003.bsky.social

the only thing multiplying in ruzzia is excuses, not babies. lets talk about the broken future, why birth rates are tanking everywhere, and why the usual propaganda about “just have more kids” is about as useful as a lada in a formula 1 race.

the global baby bust

everyone used to panic about overpopulation, now its the opposite. governments went from fining you for too many kids to throwing cash at you for just one. 2026 rolls around and newborns are way below what anyone expected. this is not just a ukraine thing, or a “developed world” thing, its everywhere. dozens of countries watching their birth rates nosedive like a russian drone over a sunflower field.

no mass famines, no plague carts, no mad max baby chases. hospitals are open, people live longer than ever, and yet the population graphs look like ski slopes. the old “poor people have more kids” rule? dead. now its the rich popping out babies, the broke folks are most likely to stay childless. the world flipped the script and nobody sent out a memo.

turning off the baby tap is way easier than turning it back on. who knew?

ukraine’s demographic nosedive

ukraine peaked at over 52 million people in 1993. since then, its been all downhill. the war didnt start the collapse, it just hit fast-forward. people are getting married later, if at all. average age for tying the knot is pushing 30. only about 1 in 5 say theyre planning on kids soon, another quarter are putting it off, the rest are somewhere between “maybe later” and “lol, no.”

the stats are grim:

  • in the best regions, you get two deaths for every birth
  • in kyiv, every ninth ukrainian baby is born, but deaths are up 11% this year
  • since 1991, not a single year where births outnumbered deaths

the population graph is a black diamond slope, and not the fun kind. the war just makes it worse. who wants to start a family when your city might get shelled next week, or you might have to flee to poland with a suitcase and a cat?

the rich world’s weird baby math

look at the “success stories” like sweden, norway, the netherlands, italy. places with money, stability, and all the ikea furniture you can assemble. in sweden and norway, high earners are having more babies. in italy and the netherlands, double-income couples are the ones having kids. if you’re scraping by, you’re probably not starting a family.

education is part of it. women are getting degrees, building careers, pushing motherhood later. but its not just “career women” holding out. economists dug into 30 years of american household surveys and found the number of kids dropped across the board. everyone’s doing it, not just the college-educated.

detour to taiwan: in 2025, they overtook south korea for the lowest birth rate on the planet. tsmc workers are just 0.3% of taiwan’s population, but they account for almost 2% of all births. basically, if you want a baby in taiwan, your best bet is to work in semiconductors. the chips are more fertile than the people.

why nobody wants to hit “spawn”

its not just money, or education, or even war. its a cocktail:

  • economic insecurity
  • housing costs
  • career pressure
  • social atomization
  • the general vibe that the future is a dumpster fire

having kids is expensive, and the payoff is… what, exactly? the old model was simple: more kids meant more hands for the farm, more security in old age, more people to carry on the family name. now, kids are a luxury project. you need a stable job, a place to live, a partner who isnt a walking red flag, and a support system that wont vanish the second you need help. good luck finding all that in 2026.

in places like volyn, where big protestant families are still a thing, its not just about religion. its about community. people have kids because they know they wont be left alone to deal with it. there’s a network, a sense of belonging, actual support. in the cities? you’re on your own, kid. the village might gossip, but at least they’ll babysit.

propaganda, cope, and the fantasy fix

the propaganda machine loves to spin this as a moral failing. “people are selfish, lazy, too obsessed with avocado toast and tiktok.” sure, blame the kids for not having kids. meanwhile, the regime is busy robbing everyone blind, blowing the budget on missiles and palaces, and then acting shocked when nobody wants to bring a baby into the circus. its not a mystery, its math.

and dont get me started on the “just move to the countryside and have babies” crowd. yeah, because everyone’s dying to live in a village with no internet, no jobs, and a bus that shows up twice a week if the driver isnt drunk. the only way that works is if you build real infrastructure: roads, schools, hospitals, actual jobs. otherwise, its just another fantasy, like “russian import substitution” or “victory by friday.”

so what’s the endgame? can you fix a broken future by throwing money at it? maybe, a little. some countries are trying baby bonuses, tax breaks, free daycare. sometimes it helps, sometimes its just a photo op for politicians. the truth is, once people get used to not having kids, its hard to flip the switch back. the whole system has to change: work, housing, healthcare, the way people connect. you cant just hand out a check and expect a baby boom.

ukraine’s uphill battle and the regime’s punchlines

ukraine’s got it even tougher. war, brain drain, a shrinking population, and a government that’s barely keeping the lights on. best-case scenario? build real support networks, make it possible for people to actually live outside the big cities without feeling like they’re on a reality show called “survivor: oblast edition.” give people a reason to believe the future isnt just a punchline.

but lets be real. the regime’s too busy counting stolen washing machines and writing new excuses for why nothing ever gets better. meanwhile, the propaganda keeps pumping out fairy tales about “traditional values” and “strong families,” while the actual families are packing their bags and heading for the border.

so yeah, the future’s broken. not because people forgot how to have kids, but because the system forgot how to make it worth it. until that changes, expect more empty cribs, more ghost towns, and more politicians pretending they dont know why. the only thing multiplying in this circus is the number of excuses.

waiting for the kremlin to solve it? good luck. they’ll probably just annex a maternity ward and call it a victory.

russian tv: “our birth rate is a triumph of traditional values.” reality: the only thing getting delivered is another round of cope.

davidluna2003.bsky.social
David Luna

@davidluna2003.bsky.social

just looking around. sci-fi + old maps

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