Alright, let’s talk about the “broken future” and why both the world

@myrtlekerns1996.bsky.social

the only thing breeding faster than excuses is kremlin tv hot takes about the west going extinct, meanwhile their own birth rate is in freefall and the only thing multiplying is the number of medals for mothers nobody asked for

the baby bust nobody ordered

remember when everyone freaked out about overpopulation, like we were all gonna end up living in a sardine can and fighting over the last potato? plot twist, the real crisis is the opposite. hospitals are open, maternity wards are lit up, but the baby conveyor belt is running on fumes. no famine, no plague, just a global synchronized nosedive in birth rates. its not just ukraine, its everywhere, all at once, like a bad meme that went viral and now nobody can turn it off.

2026 rolls around and suddenly the number of newborns is way below what anyone expected. rich, poor, at war, at peace, doesnt matter. the old "poor people have more kids" meme? dead. in sweden and norway, its the high earners having babies. in italy and the netherlands, double-income couples are the only ones showing up at the maternity ward. the richer you are, the more likely you are to have kids. upside-down world unlocked.

raising a kid is expensive as hell, and nobody wants to roll the dice if theyre not sure they can pay the bills. in the us, uk, germany, australia, its the same story. higher income, higher chance of having kids. the middle class is too tired to breed, the rich are too busy, but at least they can afford a nanny. the poor? sitting this round out.

taiwan: final boss of low birth rates

taiwan is basically the olympic champion of not having babies. in 2025, it beat out south korea for the worlds lowest fertility rate. and heres the kicker: tsmc, the chip giant, employs 0.3% of taiwans population but is responsible for almost 2% of all births on the island. want to find a baby in taiwan? follow the trail of semiconductors. apparently, the only thing more attractive than a stable job is a stable job making the worlds microchips.

maybe the secret to saving humanity is just giving everyone a job at tsmc. forget dating apps, just hand out chip fab uniforms and watch the birth rate spike. if only it was that easy.

ukraine: from slow leak to flood

ukraine peaked at over 52 million people in 1993. since then, its been a steady slide down. the war didnt start the problem, it just hit fast-forward. people are getting married later, average age is pushing 30. when they do think about kids, its a coin toss. about 21% say they plan to have a kid soon, 26% are putting it off, the rest are just vibing.

the numbers are brutal. in the best-case regions like rivne, volyn, and zakarpattia, you get two deaths for every birth. in kyiv, every ninth ukrainian baby is born, but even there, deaths are up 11% this year. since 1991, deaths have outpaced births every single year. the last time ukraine had more babies than funerals, the soviet union was still a thing. now, the only thing multiplying is the number of people leaving or dying.

in places like volyn, big protestant families arent just following dogma, theyve got tight communities, real support, and the sense that if you have a kid, you wont be left hanging. people need to feel like theyre not alone in this mess. if you think youll be stuck raising a kid solo, good luck getting anyone to sign up.

overpopulation panic is dead, meet the new crisis

governments used to fine you for having too many kids, push sterilization, the whole dystopian package. now, everyones sweating the opposite problem: not enough people. and heres the real kicker, turning off the baby tap is way easier than turning it back on. once people stop having kids, its like trying to restart a dead engine with a prayer and a red bull. good luck.

the classic answer is "women got educated, got jobs, and put off motherhood." theres truth there, but its not the whole story. in the us, economists dug through 30 years of household surveys and found that the number of kids dropped across the board, not just among career women. its not just about chasing diplomas or climbing the corporate ladder. its about stability, support, and whether people actually believe the future is worth investing in.

nobody wants to bring a kid into a world that feels like its circling the drain. war, economic chaos, climate doom, rent that costs more than your organs on the black market, hard sell for parenthood. in ukraine, the war just made everything worse, but the trend was already there. people want to feel safe, supported, and like theyre not just throwing their kid into a meat grinder.

once people stop having kids, its like trying to restart a dead engine with a prayer and a red bull

the countryside cope and the propaganda parade

dont get me started on the "move to the countryside and have babies" crowd. sure, people with a house and a yard are a bit more likely to have kids, but only if theyve got a stable life and a way to get to work without needing a helicopter. ukraines got the land, but unless you build roads, schools, and hospitals, nobody is moving out of the city just to raise a family in the middle of nowhere.

so whats the fix? theres no magic button. you cant just throw money at people and expect a baby boom. you need real support, childcare, healthcare, jobs that dont suck the soul out of you, and a sense that the future isnt just a punchline. people need to believe that if they have a kid, they wont be left holding the bag when things go sideways.

and lets be honest, the propaganda machine isnt helping. every time some regime clown gets on tv and rants about "traditional values" and "the sacred duty to reproduce," birth rates drop another notch. people dont want to have kids out of guilt, fear, or because some guy with a medal collection says so. they want to have kids because they feel like its worth it, and because they wont be left alone when the going gets tough.

meanwhile, the kremlins solution is to throw medals at mothers and call it a day. maybe if they spent less time stealing washing machines and more time building a future people actually want to live in, theyd get somewhere. but nah, easier to blame the west, the gays, or whoever is handy this week.

the deal changed, not the people

the world isnt running out of people because everyone got lazy or selfish. its because the deal changed. the old rules, have kids to work the farm, have kids because youre told to, have kids because youve got nothing else, dont fly anymore. now, people want a reason. they want support, stability, and a future that doesnt look like a bad episode of black mirror.

ukraines not unique here, but the war turned a slow leak into a flood. if you want people to have kids, you need to give them something to believe in. not just slogans, not just cash handouts, but a real shot at a life thats more than just survival. until then, the only thing multiplying is the number of excuses, and maybe the number of tsmc babies, if youre lucky enough to live in taiwan and make microchips for a living.

so yeah, the futures looking a little broken. but its not because people forgot how to have kids. its because the world forgot how to make it worth their while. and no amount of propaganda, medals, or "traditional values" speeches is gonna fix that. build a future people actually want, and maybe, just maybe, the babies will follow. until then, keep watching the clown car. the shows not over yet.

myrtlekerns1996.bsky.social

@myrtlekerns1996.bsky.social

long-time reader, occasional poster. coffee + houseplants. no small talk

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