Day 1667 in the land of “we’ll take Kyiv in three days”

@wendyweiss1916.bsky.social

day 1667 and the only thing moving faster than russian excuses is the price of gas. welcome to the fuel apocalypse, where the second army of the world cant even take a road trip without praying their lada doesnt tap out. lets break down the latest episode of “how not to run a superpower,” starring: a gasoline crisis that wont quit, sanctions with a vengeance, ukraines counteroffensive, and regions so broke theyre about to start bartering potatoes for wifi.

the great russian gas station blackout

remember when ruzzia was the gas station of europe? now its just a pit stop with a “closed” sign and a handwritten note saying “back in 50 km.” drone strikes on refineries are the new national sport, and every week another big-name plant gets smoked. perm, yaroslavl, leningrad, nizhny novgorod—pick your favorite, its probably on fire or “temporarily offline for maintenance,” which is kremlin-speak for “still scraping the burnt bits off the walls.” production is down to 70% of what the country needs, and thats before you count the ones that are just gone.

on the ground, its a clown show. saratov, penza, tyumen, surgut—no gas. tyumen, the so-called oil and gas capital, is now the punchline of its own joke. in samara and zubna, tractors are parked, fields are empty, and tow trucks are just chilling because theres nothing to tow except their own hopes. st. petersburgs city government finally noticed the crisis about a week after everyone else ran out of fuel. their response? “were aware.” thanks, smolny, very helpful.

lines at gas stations are longer than the list of kremlin excuses. people are driving 50 kilometers just to find a pump that isnt dry. some regions tried to lift fuel purchase limits, like omsk and samara, but thats like taking the “out of order” sign off a broken toilet and calling it fixed. lukoil stations are only serving people with special fuel cards, and even then, its a lottery. gazprom promised to restock, but surprise, that never happened. the government keeps saying theyre “fixing logistics,” but the only thing moving is the goalpost.

sanctions: now with extra pain

dont get it twisted, this isnt just a moscow problem. fifty-three regions have seen gas prices spike. in rural areas, farmers cant harvest, ambulances are running on fumes, and public transport is one missed delivery away from horse-drawn carriages. the regimes answer? blame “temporary difficulties” and tell everyone to calm down. the only thing more temporary than russian fuel supplies is the lifespan of a mobilized conscript.

the west is rolling out new sanctions packages like its christmas, and the kremlins best counter is “import substitution,” which is just a fancy way of saying “hope you like belarusian mayonnaise and chinese knockoff microchips.” every time a new sanction hits, the regime claims its “good for domestic industry,” but the only thing booming is the black market and the number of people googling “how to move to kazakhstan.”

the real kicker? the regime is still shipping oil abroad, trying to keep the budget afloat, but now they cant even keep their own gas stations stocked. its like selling your own shoes while walking barefoot through broken glass. the money from exports is drying up, the ruble is tanking, and the only thing more unstable than the economy is putins botox schedule.

front lines and the art of losing

while russia is busy rationing gasoline and making up new excuses, ukraines counteroffensive keeps grinding forward. lyman is a mess for the russians, their army got smoked again, and the z bloggers are having a collective meltdown. every time they say “ukraine is finished,” the front line moves the wrong way for them. at this point, the only thing advancing in russia is the price of bread.

the regimes answer to battlefield losses? more mobilization, but theyre trying to keep it quiet until after the next round of fake elections. the leveda center polls show russians are “getting used to” the new normal—no gas, rising prices, and the looming threat of being shipped off to the trenches. the share of people feeling tension or fear is dropping, not because things are better, but because everyones numb. when your choices are “wait in line for gas” or “wait in line for a draft notice,” you stop caring about the details.

the only thing theyre exporting now is cope, and even thats running low.

regional poverty olympics

lets not forget the regions. moscow and st. petersburg might still have some cash, but everywhere else is broke. budgets are slashed, salaries are late, and local officials are doing their best impression of “everything is fine” while the ceiling caves in. infrastructure is crumbling, social programs are gutted, and the only thing getting built is more fences around military recruitment offices.

  • budgets slashed in the regions
  • salaries delayed or unpaid
  • infrastructure falling apart
  • social programs cut to the bone
  • recruitment fences going up everywhere

the propaganda machine is working overtime, but you cant fill your tank with tv slogans. the regime keeps promising “strategic depth,” but all that means is a longer walk home when your tank is empty and your dreams are stuck in traffic.

the big picture: running on empty

russia is running on empty, literally and figuratively. the fuel crisis is just the latest symptom of a regime that cant keep the lights on without stealing extension cords from its neighbors. sanctions are squeezing the economy, the war is bleeding resources, and the regions are left to fend for themselves while moscow pretends its all under control.

meanwhile, ukraine isnt just holding the line, theyre pushing it. every refinery that goes up in smoke is another headache for the kremlin, another day the russian army has to fight with less. the regime can spin it all they want, but the receipts dont lie: no gas, no money, no plan. just a lot of angry drivers, empty fields, and z bloggers trying to meme their way out of reality.

this is what “second army of the world” looks like when you peel off the stickers. a country that cant fuel its own cars, cant pay its own bills, and cant win a war it started. the only thing theyre exporting now is cope, and even thats running low. next time you see a russian official bragging about “strategic depth,” just remember: its a long walk home when your tank is empty and your dreams are stuck in traffic.

russian victory parade this year is just a guy pushing his lada to the nearest gas station, and even that station is closed.

wendyweiss1916.bsky.social

@wendyweiss1916.bsky.social

mostly lurking. coffee + film photography

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